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Is Prediction Markets Legal in Maryland? (2026 Update)
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Is Prediction Markets Legal in Maryland? (2026 Update)

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Published
May 31

Contents

On this page
  1. The verdict for Maryland in one paragraph
  2. Federal context as applied to Maryland
  3. Maryland-specific law
  4. State gambling statute overview
  5. Maryland Attorney General and Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency position
  6. Recent state-level legislative or court activity
  7. Platform access in Maryland
  8. Kalshi availability
  9. Polymarket posture
  10. AGON posture
  11. Practical guidance
  12. Resources
  13. Legal disclaimer
  14. Trading disclaimer
  15. FAQ
  16. Is Kalshi legal in Maryland?
  17. Is Polymarket legal in Maryland?
  18. What is Maryland's stance on event contracts?
  19. Can Maryland residents trade on AGON?
  20. How does Maryland's 2020 sports betting referendum affect prediction markets?

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‹ All articles
Is Prediction Markets Legal in Maryland? (2026 Update)

Maryland's regulatory landscape for prediction markets is defined by the separation between federal and state authority. While the state embraced regulated sports betting following a 2020 referendum, event contracts traded on federally registered exchanges fall under a distinct legal framework. This guide provides a factual overview of the controlling statutes, platform accessibility, and key distinctions traders must understand for compliance in Maryland.

Warning:
Legal disclaimer
This article is informational only — consult a licensed attorney before placing real-money bets in Maryland.

The verdict for Maryland in one paragraph

Maryland's status for prediction markets is Open. This is primarily due to federal preemption, where event contracts on a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) registered exchange are governed by federal law, not Maryland's state gambling statutes like Maryland Criminal Law §12-101. While Maryland's 2020 referendum approved sports betting under the Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency, this framework is separate. Consequently, Kalshi is accessible, while Polymarket restricts US users. AGON maintains a geoblock policy aligned with these federal and state distinctions.

Federal context as applied to Maryland

The primary legal authority for event contracts in the United States is the Commodity Exchange Act. This federal law grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over commodity derivatives, which includes event contracts traded on a CFTC-registered . This federal preemption means that if a platform is registered as a DCM with the CFTC, its approved event contracts are treated as financial instruments, not as state-level gambling.

Designated Contract Market (DCM)

This creates a clear distinction from Maryland's own regulated betting market. In November 2020, Maryland voters overwhelmingly approved Question 2, a referendum authorizing sports and events betting. The state legislature passed implementing laws in 2021, leading to the launch of retail sportsbooks in December 2021 and mobile sports betting in November 2022. All state-sanctioned sports betting is regulated by the Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency (MLGCA).

The critical point is that the MLGCA's authority covers sports wagering as defined by state law. It does not extend to the federally regulated commodity derivatives offered by a CFTC-registered DCM. The two systems operate in parallel under separate jurisdictions. For a complete overview of the national framework, read the full 50-state guide.

Maryland-specific law

Understanding Maryland's state-level statutes provides essential context, even with federal preemption in place for certain platforms.

State gambling statute overview

Maryland's primary gaming statute is found in the Maryland Criminal Law, Title 12, Subtitle 1. Section §12-101 defines key terms like "bet" and "gaming device." Subsequent sections within the title establish the criminal framework for various forms of unlawful gambling. This statute forms the legal basis for prohibiting unregulated gambling activities within the state. The 2021 legislation that implemented regulated sports betting carved out specific, licensed exceptions to these general prohibitions, placing them under the authority of the MLGCA as established in the State Government Article, Title 9.

Maryland Attorney General and Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency position

As of this writing, the Maryland Attorney General has not issued a formal public opinion that specifically addresses whether CFTC-registered event contracts constitute gambling under state law. This official silence leaves the federal framework as the prevailing authority for registered platforms.

The Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency's mandate is clearly defined: it regulates casino gaming, the state lottery, and the licensed sports wagering market authorized by the 2020 referendum. Its jurisdiction does not cover commodity derivatives, which remain under the purview of the federal CFTC. The existence of a robust, mainstream regulatory body like the MLGCA indicates a state posture that favors regulated markets over prohibition.

Recent state-level legislative or court activity

The most significant recent activity was the successful implementation of regulated sports betting. Retail operations began in late 2021, with a full mobile launch in late 2022. This framework has been operating smoothly under MLGCA oversight.

To date, no bills have been enacted by the Maryland General Assembly that specifically target or attempt to reclassify CFTC-registered prediction markets as state-level gambling. The broad voter support for the 2020 sports betting referendum signals a clear public appetite for regulated betting markets. However, for event contracts on registered DCMs, the CFTC's federal framework remains the controlling legal regime.

Platform access in Maryland

Platform availability in Maryland depends entirely on a platform's regulatory structure and compliance posture.

Kalshi availability

Kalshi operates as a CFTC-registered Designated Contract Market. Due to the federal preemption granted by this status, its event contracts are broadly available to residents of Maryland. Users should always verify current availability directly on Kalshi's website, as platform policies can change. For more context, see our Kalshi review from a degen perspective.

Polymarket posture

Polymarket does not operate as a CFTC-registered exchange. Following a 2022 settlement with the CFTC, the platform amended its terms of service to restrict access for all persons in the United States. This is a global policy that includes Maryland. Accessing the platform from Maryland would violate its terms and is not permitted.

AGON posture

AGON is a sport betting crypto platform built on Base chain. It features an open AI Agent Arena where developers can connect their own bots, alongside a full gamification stack with levels, badges, and leaderboards. AGON’s availability is managed by a geoblock policy that considers both the CFTC framework and state-specific statutes. While Maryland's voter-approved sports betting framework creates a favorable regulatory climate, it does not directly authorize all forms of online betting. Users should assess AGON's markets catalog and compliance posture in the context of their own legal obligations. See how AGON's sport betting crypto + Agent Arena model works.

Practical guidance

Before trading on any platform from Maryland, consider verifying the following with qualified legal counsel:

  • Contract Type: Is the product a CFTC-regulated event contract or a sports wager under MLGCA jurisdiction?
  • Platform Registration: Is the platform a federally registered DCM with the CFTC?
  • Jurisdiction: Does the activity fall under federal preemption or state law like Maryland Criminal Law §12-101?
  • Tax Reporting: Understand that winnings are subject to Maryland state income tax in addition to federal taxes.

Common mistakes include confusing Maryland's regulated sports betting with the separate CFTC event contract framework, or assuming that on-chain access bypasses state-level compliance duties. This guide is not a substitute for professional legal advice from a Maryland-licensed attorney.

Resources

  • Maryland Criminal Law §12-101 — Gaming
  • Maryland Attorney General Office
  • Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency
  • Maryland General Assembly Bills Tracker
  • CFTC.gov — Federal Framework and DCM List
  • Parent Guide: Is Prediction Markets Legal in the United States?
  • Sister State Guides: Massachusetts (Open), Maine (Open), Indiana (Open)

Legal disclaimer

This article is not legal advice. Maryland gambling law (Maryland Criminal Law §12-101) and Maryland's 2020 referendum-approved sports betting framework (administered by the Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency) are distinct from CFTC federal event contract jurisdiction. Federal CFTC rules evolve. Consult the Maryland Attorney General office and a Maryland-licensed attorney before relying on any classification. AGON does not solicit Maryland users where prediction markets are restricted, and AGON does not provide legal advice.

Trading disclaimer

Sport betting involves risk. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly. Past performance does not predict future results. Capital is at risk.

FAQ


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FAQ
Is Kalshi legal in Maryland?

Yes, Kalshi is generally accessible to Maryland residents. Kalshi operates as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This federal registration means its event contracts are governed by federal commodity law, which preempts state-level gambling characterizations. While Maryland has its own laws, the federal framework is the controlling authority for CFTC-registered platforms. Users should always confirm the latest status directly on kalshi.com before trading.

Is Polymarket legal in Maryland?

No, using Polymarket from Maryland is not permitted by the platform. Following a 2022 settlement with the CFTC, Polymarket updated its Terms of Service to restrict access for all U.S. persons, including those in Maryland. Attempting to access the platform from the state would violate its terms and could potentially carry risk under Maryland's general gambling statute, Maryland Criminal Law §12-101, as the platform does not operate under federal preemption.

What is Maryland's stance on event contracts?

Maryland has not adopted an official stance specifically classifying CFTC-registered event contracts. The Maryland Attorney General has not issued a public opinion on the matter. The state's primary regulator for betting, the Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency, oversees sports wagering, casinos, and the lottery, not federally regulated commodity derivatives. In the absence of specific state-level prohibition, the CFTC's federal framework remains the controlling regime for event contracts traded on a registered exchange.

Can Maryland residents trade on AGON?

AGON is a sport betting crypto platform on Base chain with an open AI Agent Arena and a gamification stack. The platform's availability in any given state is governed by a geoblock policy that considers both the federal CFTC framework and specific state gambling laws. Maryland's permissive, voter-approved sports betting framework from 2020 provides favorable context for regulated markets. However, users are responsible for their own compliance and should consult with Maryland-licensed legal counsel before trading.

How does Maryland's 2020 sports betting referendum affect prediction markets?

The 2020 referendum (Question 2) authorized state-regulated sports betting, which launched for retail in 2021 and mobile in 2022 under the Maryland Lottery and Gaming Control Agency. This framework created a legal, regulated market for sports wagering within the state. However, it does not directly govern or authorize CFTC-registered prediction markets. Those platforms operate under a separate federal preemption based on the Commodity Exchange Act. The referendum's success signals a pro-regulation environment but does not change the legal jurisdiction for event contracts.