AI-curated technology & ai prediction market forecasts. Browse live odds and key themes.
Technology and AI prediction markets are pricing rapid capability advancement with significant uncertainty around deployment timelines and regulatory responses. Key markets track AI benchmark milestones, major model releases, antitrust outcomes for Big Tech, and semiconductor supply chain dynamics. Space commercialization markets are seeing record volumes tied to launch schedules and NASA/SpaceX milestone events.
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-05-03?
Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024?
Will the US Department of Education be dissolved before Jan. 20, 2029?
Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?
Will Tim Walz cease to be Kamala Harriss's running mate before November 1, 2024?
Will SpaceX fail to make any new posts on its Updates page before January 1, 2025?
Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023?
Will the USDA-posted recall by UP Products, LLC, DBA Meyer Wholesale of Ready-To-Eat and Raw Sausage Products issued January 13, 2025 be closed before April 1, 2025?
Will the USDA-posted recall of Michael Foods Inc.'s Fair Meadow Foundations Liquid Egg Products issued June 30, 2024 be closed before October 1, 2024?
Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?
[Short Fuse] Will Credit Suisse experience any of the following scenarios before May 2023?
Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024?
Will the Israeli High Court issue a ruling on the "reasonableness" law before October 1, 2023?
Will the UAE engage with 2 or more additional Iranian projectiles (drones or missiles) before May 1, 2026?
Will Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) report a launched mission 10?
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
Before January 1, 2025, will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu?
Will the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission post a new advanced-reactor licensing milestone before April 30, 2026?
Will the Asteroid 2024 YR4 Hit the Earth or the Moon before 2033?
Drake vs Kendrick Lamar: will either artist release another diss track in May?
Will Emmanuel Macron dissolve the French National Assembly before the end of his term?
Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?
Will the USDA-posted recall by ACC Central Kitchen LLC of pork bun products issued April 24, 2025 be closed before July 1, 2025?
Will the European Commission’s AI Office publish a revised draft (a new version) of the general-purpose AI (GPAI) code of practice?
Will the USDA-posted recall by Cargill Kitchen Solutions of its liquid egg product for an unapproved substance issued March 28, 2025 be closed before July 1, 2025?
Before Sept 30, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders?
Between Oct 15 and Dec 31, 2025 (UTC), will Russia or Belarus officially announce that the “Oreshnik” missile system is deployed on Belarusian territory?
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before Sept 30, 2024?
In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area?
Before Sept 30, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu?
Will WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024?
Will the state of Missouri implement approval voting before 2030?
Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026?
Will the USDA-posted recall by LPK1 of its ready-to-eat chicken caesar wrap for misbranding and an undeclared allergen issued February 24, 2025 be closed before June 1, 2025?
Will SpaceX have a Falcon 9 launch failure in 2025?
Will Russia substantially damage or destroy a Patriot Missile Battery in Ukraine before July, 2023?
Will the SPC issue at least one High Risk Day 1 Convective Outlook between May 17 and May 30, 2026?
Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024?
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025? (China)
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?
Will SpaceX fail to make any new posts on its Updates page before April 1, 2025?
Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?
Will the interest in "melissa hortman" be greater on 2025-09-27 than on 2025-09-16 according to Google Trends?
Will the USDA-posted recall by Pork Dynasty Inc. of Ready-to-Eat Fried Pork Skin Products issued September 27, 2024 be closed before March 1, 2025?
Will the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) fine a second company for violating its anti-space debris rule before 2025?
Will the Japan Self-Defense Forces have tested a Tomahawk missile by mid-2027?
Will SpaceX's Fram2 mission launch before April 1, 2025?
