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Anthropic

Prediction markets related to Anthropic. Browse and compare live odds across all platforms.

Total Markets100
Total Volume$962K
Volume 24h$962K
Live Games0
Settled0

Filters

Status
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Market SpotlightActive

When will Anthropic IPO?

TECHAGON
YES50%
NO50%
$246K volume932d time leftView market
TECH

Will Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?

YES75%
NO25%
Volume$151KTime left566dAGONActive
TECH

Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$42KTime left1633dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

YES64%
NO36%
Volume$34KTime left1662dAGONActive
TECH

At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$29KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?

YES37%
NO63%
Volume$22KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic 2026 peak valuation [old buckets]

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$16KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Battle of the version numbers: OpenAI still leads Anthropic (5.2>4.5), through til mid 2026?

YES95%
NO5%
Volume$16KTime left17dAGONActive
TECH

What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$15KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

When will Anthropic surpass 30B revenue run rate?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$15KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?

YES48%
NO52%
Volume$14KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

YES77%
NO24%
Volume$13KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
TECH

Which month will Anthropic release Sonnet 5?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$11KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry

YES97%
NO3%
Volume$11KTime left79dAGONActive
TECH

A major tech company, besides Anthropic, reports at least 98% of its code is AI-generated before April 1, 2026

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$11KTime leftendedAGONActive
TECH

By 2028, will I think Anthropic has been net-good for the world?

YES56%
NO44%
Volume$11KTime left566dAGONActive
TECH

If Anthropic caves to the Pentagon in Q1 2026, will it remain a leading AI lab in 2027?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$10KTime left566dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$10KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
TECH

Which months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$9KTime left80dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic 2026 revenue

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$9KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic highest valuation by end of June 2026

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$9KTime left17dAGONActive
TECH

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$9KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic's RSP security commitments (as of Oct. 28 2023) cause them to pause scaling for at least one month?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$8KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

By the end of the year 2027, Apple will acquire Anthropic and Cursor

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$8KTime left566dAGONActive
TECH

OpenAI or Anthropic 2028 revenue at $3T+

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$8KTime left566dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$7KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic 2028 revenue [old buckets]

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$7KTime left932dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$7KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$7KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

What will happen between Anthropic and the Pentagon?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$6KTime left18dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

YES98%
NO2%
Volume$6KTime left16dPolymarketActive
TECH

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?

YES100%
NO0%
Volume$5KTime left202dAGONActive
TECH

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$5KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Amazon divest from Anthropic in 2026?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$5KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic’s next Sonnet model exceed 65% on terminal bench?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$5KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic stock

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$5KTime left364077dAGONActive
TECH

Will the FTC inquiry into Microsoft/OpenAI and Amazon/Google/Anthropic relationships result in important changes?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$5KTime left237dAGONActive
TECH

OpenAI and Anthropic will both hit their 2026 revenue goals in 2026

YES94%
NO6%
Volume$5KTime left203dAGONActive
TECH

Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$5KTime left232dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic introduces a individual subscription beyond the 20x Max plan before June 1st?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$5KTime leftendedAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic leave AWS in 2026?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$4KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left200dPolymarketActive
TECH

What will be the next major event for Anthropic?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left1298dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic acquired by Apple before 2030?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$4KTime left1298dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic's first image generation capability be based on an in-house image model?

YES39%
NO61%
Volume$4KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic deploy ads on Claude before 2030?

YES38%
NO62%
Volume$4KTime left1297dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic highest annualized revenue run rate by end of September 2026

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left109dAGONActive
TECH

Will Alphabet divest from Anthropic by EOY?

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$4KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$4KTime left1656dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic 2028 peak valuation [old buckets]

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left932dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic 2027 peak valuation [old buckets]

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left566dAGONActive
TECH

Will Andrej Karpathy leave Anthropic in 2026?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$3KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left202dAGONActive
TECH

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?

YES100%
NO0%
Volume$3KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
TECH

Anthropic relocates by the end of 2027?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left566dAGONActive
TECH

Will Sam Altman file a case against anthropic in next 3 months?

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$3KTime left57dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic natively integrate image generation into Claude and/or Claude Code in 2026?

YES47%
NO53%
Volume$3KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will the US government take control of Anthropic or its major technologies before 2030?

YES20%
NO80%
Volume$3KTime left1297dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?

YES86%
NO14%
Volume$3KTime left1297dAGONActive
CRYPTO

Will the majority of physicists accept Strong Anthropic Principle as the most likely solution for fine tuning?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left8603dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic 2027 revenue

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left566dAGONActive
TECH

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$3KTime left150dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

YES39%
NO61%
Volume$3KTime left1297dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

YES70%
NO30%
Volume$2KTime left16dPolymarketActive
TECH

Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon supply-chain designation by June 2026?

YES30%
NO70%
Volume$2KTime left17dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic deploys ads in Claude web or mobile app by end of 2026

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$2KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$2KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

YES36%
NO64%
Volume$2KTime left1772dAGONActive
TECH

Will Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$2KTime left932dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military using its AI by EOY 2026?

YES60%
NO40%
Volume$2KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$2KTime left757dAGONActive
TECH

Will Obama be formally associated with Anthropic before 2030?

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$2KTime left1297dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$2KTime left109dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic release a (competetive) opensource LLM in the next 3 years?

YES39%
NO61%
Volume$2KTime left784dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$2KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue run rate) at end of 2027?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$2KTime left626dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least a year as a result of safety evaluations?

YES27%
NO73%
Volume$2KTime left8603dAGONActive
TECH

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

YES25%
NO75%
Volume$2KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will "Anthropic's Pause is the Most Expensive Alarm..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$2KTime left597dAGONActive
TECH

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$2KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?

YES85%
NO15%
Volume$2KTime left2759dAGONActive
TECH

Major AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic will stop investing in MCP in 2026

YES53%
NO47%
Volume$2KTime left208dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?

YES14%
NO86%
Volume$2KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

What ticker will Anthropic use?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic 2025 Revenue

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime leftendedAGONActive
FINANCE

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

YES61%
NO39%
Volume$1KTime left200dPolymarketActive
TECH

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

YES100%
NO0%
Volume$1KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
TECH

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

YES36%
NO64%
Volume$1KTime left1662dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic lose any of its cofounders by the end of 2026?

YES24%
NO76%
Volume$1KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Anthropic make bigger revisions to RSP by EOY 2028?

YES76%
NO24%
Volume$1KTime left932dAGONActive
TECH

What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

YES14%
NO86%
Volume$1KTime left232dAGONActive
TECH

By the end of 2030, how much Anthropic money will have been donated to charity?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left1662dAGONActive
TECH

Will Amazon buy Anthropic in 2026?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$1KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

Will Anthropic release Claude 5 Opus (or equivalent next-gen flagship) before October 1, 2026?

YES70%
NO30%
Volume$1KTime left140dAGONActive
TECH

Which companies will stand with Anthropic (Yes) vs DoD (No)?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime leftendedAGONActive
TECH

Chinese nationals are no longer able to work for OpenAI or Anthropic in the US before 2030

YES43%
NO57%
Volume$1KTime left1298dAGONActive
TECH

Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$1KTime left200dAGONActive
TECH

Is Anthropic's "Confidential Investor" Elon Musk?

YES8%
NO92%
Volume$1KTime left1297dAGONActive
TECH

What will be Anthropic first major acquisition?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left634dAGONActive
Entities / Companies / Anthropic