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Canada

Prediction markets related to Canada. Browse and compare live odds across all platforms.

Total Markets100
Total Volume$426K
Volume 24h$426K
Live Games0
Settled0

Filters

Status
Source
Market SpotlightActive

Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?

POLITICSAGON
YES50%
NO50%
$47K volume319d time leftView market
SPORTS

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$46KTime left36dPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$38KTime left952dAGONActive
OTHER

Will the USA invade Canada before 2029?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$28KTime left933dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$25KTime left933dAGONActive
OTHER

Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$23KTime left201dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's Prime Minister on October 10, 2026?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$20KTime left119dAGONActive
OTHER

Canada announces revival of Avro Arrow fighter jet project before 2028

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$12KTime left670dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

YES54%
NO47%
Volume$12KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
POLITICS

Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$12KTime left2912166dAGONActive
POLITICS

US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$12KTime left933dAGONActive
OTHER

When will Canada's birth rate exceed India's birth rate?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$11KTime left12267dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

YES13%
NO87%
Volume$10KTime left1298dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Alberta leave Canada before November 2029?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$9KTime left1237dAGONActive
OTHER

Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$8KTime left952dAGONActive
CRYPTO

Will Canada have a universal base income by 2026?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$8KTime left201dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

YES59%
NO41%
Volume$7KTime left200dPolymarketActive
TECH

Will the Information Commissioner of Canada Resign in 2025?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$6KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$6KTime left952dAGONActive
OTHER

Will a province or territory of Canada express an intent to join, or attempt to join the US before 2028?

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$5KTime left568dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Alberta leave Canada?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$5KTime left1662dAGONActive
TECH

Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$5KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$5KTime left202dAGONActive
OTHER

Implats Canada closes by July 1, 2026

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$4KTime left17dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?

YES43%
NO57%
Volume$4KTime left201dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

YES81%
NO19%
Volume$4KTime left202dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

YES12%
NO88%
Volume$4KTime left1297dAGONActive
OTHER

Shechita banned in Canada by EOY 2026?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$3KTime left202dAGONActive
OTHER

Who will be found to be at fault in the Air Canada LaGuardia Airport crash?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$2KTime left102dAGONActive
OTHER

How many hectares will burn in forest fires in Canada during 2026?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$2KTime left168dAGONActive
OTHER

Will the population of Canada be reported to have hit 45 million people before 2028?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$2KTime left568dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Quebec leave Canada before 2040?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$2KTime left4950dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada become the 51st US state before Jan 20th, 2029?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$2KTime left952dAGONActive
OTHER

Impala Canada to accelerate shutdown in 2026

YES30%
NO70%
Volume$2KTime left201dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Mark Carney still be Prime Minister of Canada on July 1st 2026?

YES98%
NO2%
Volume$1KTime left17dAGONActive
TECH

Will Canada close its border with the US to civilian travel due to a pandemic disease by Feb 1, 2029?

YES17%
NO83%
Volume$1KTime left965dAGONActive
OTHER

How much revenue will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) generate for the country in 2024?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada have high-speed rail by 2035?

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$1KTime left3124dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be Prime Minister of Canada on 1 Jan 2027?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left202dAGONActive
OTHER

Will number of physician assisted suicides in Canada be above 17,500 in 2026?

YES77%
NO23%
Volume$1KTime leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?

YES25%
NO75%
Volume$1KTime left275dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Bill C-64 "An act respecting pharmacare" pass in Canada before the end of 2025?

YES99%
NO1%
Volume$1KTime leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Canada Stock (Permanent)

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$970Time left363840dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be Prime Minister of Canada on 1 Jan 2030?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$967Time left1298dAGONActive
OTHER

Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year

YES48%
NO52%
Volume$903Time left201dAGONActive
OTHER

Will the US violate the sovereignty of Canada before January 20th 2029?

YES36%
NO64%
Volume$877Time left952dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada become a member of the EU before 2040?

YES8%
NO92%
Volume$876Time left4949dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be Prime Minister of Canada after Mark Carney?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$826Time left201dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$806Time left4950dAGONActive
OTHER

Before which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$734Time left104dAGONActive
OTHER

Where will Canada rank in 2027 World Happiness Report?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$699Time left277dAGONActive
OTHER

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

YES14%
NO86%
Volume$665Time left217dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada Legalize LSD by 2027?

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$650Time left566dAGONActive
OTHER

Will @BasedBeffJezos be deported back to Canada by EOY2028?

YES61%
NO39%
Volume$648Time left932dAGONActive
OTHER

When will Canada break apart?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$634Time left6776dAGONActive
FINANCE

Canada hyperinflation by 2030?

YES8%
NO92%
Volume$611Time left1297dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be Prime Minister of Canada on 1 Jan 2029?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$578Time left933dAGONActive
OTHER

Who will succeed Pierre Poilievre as the next leader of the Conservative Party of Canada?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$558Time left1297dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?

YES38%
NO62%
Volume$549Time left2393dAGONActive
OTHER

What will be the population of Canada in the year 2030?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$539Time left1662dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Trump tariff Canada 100%

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$533Time left201dAGONActive
FINANCE

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

YES54%
NO47%
Volume$531Time left200dPolymarketActive
OTHER

Will Canada allow US dairy during Trump’s term?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$495Time left956dAGONActive
OTHER

If I remain living in Canada, will I be subject to any government sanction on speech before 2027?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$494Time left202dAGONActive
OTHER

Chinese EVs manufactured in Canada?

YES49%
NO51%
Volume$481Time left1395dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada raise its 2027 international-student arrivals target above 150,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES34%
NO66%
Volume$475Time left200dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada get nuclear weapons by eoy2031

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$439Time left2027dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada's stock market outperform the US's during Trump's 2nd term?

YES64%
NO36%
Volume$415Time left952dAGONActive
OTHER

Will any government in the US/EU/UK/Canada/Australia mandate installing far-UVC lamps in any public space before 2030?

YES70%
NO30%
Volume$415Time left1297dAGONActive
OTHER

Impala Platinum Canada PGM 2E Production 2027

YES48%
NO52%
Volume$407Time left260dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada be TOP 20 in IMO 2026?

YES88%
NO12%
Volume$400Time left49dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

YES27%
NO74%
Volume$399Time leftendedPolymarketActive
OTHER

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$391Time left8967dAGONActive
FINANCE

Will "Canada" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

YES1%
NO100%
Volume$390Time leftendedPolymarketActive
OTHER

Pipeline construction starts in BC, Canada before 2031?

YES63%
NO37%
Volume$382Time left1662dAGONActive
OTHER

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.5 billion USD on April 1, 2026?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$373Time leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Will most cucumbers in Canada be produced without being wrapped in plastics by the end of 2026?

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$334Time left16dAGONActive
TECH

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

YES76%
NO24%
Volume$323Time left2028dAGONActive
SPORTS

Slovakia - Canada — 2nd Period: Total Goals

YES69%
NO42%
Volume$308Time leftendedAzuroActive
SPORTS

Slovakia - Canada — 1st Period: Total Goals

YES22%
NO88%
Volume$308Time leftendedAzuroActive
OTHER

Will "Canada Lost Its Measles Elimination Status Be..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

YES43%
NO57%
Volume$300Time left597dAGONActive
ENTERTAINMENT

Will "Canada" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$297Time leftendedPolymarketActive
FINANCE

Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027?

YES24%
NO76%
Volume$293Time left627dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be Prime Minister of Canada on 1 Jan 2028?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$267Time left567dAGONActive
OTHER

Will more than 100,000 Americans move to Canada in the years 2025-2028?

YES26%
NO74%
Volume$262Time left933dAGONActive
OTHER

Canada's population declines in 2026?

YES73%
NO27%
Volume$252Time left201dAGONActive
OTHER

Will total US immigration to Canada for years 2025-2028 exceed that of years 2021-2024?

YES20%
NO80%
Volume$210Time left932dAGONActive
POLITICS

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$206Time left16dPolymarketActive
OTHER

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2029?

YES60%
NO40%
Volume$198Time left1371dAGONActive
FINANCE

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$197Time leftendedPolymarketActive
OTHER

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.0 billion USD on April 1, 2026?

YES12%
NO88%
Volume$190Time leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Who will succeed Mark Carney as the next leader of the Liberal Party of Canada?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$189Time left1297dAGONActive
FINANCE

Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?

YES24%
NO76%
Volume$183Time left201dAGONActive
OTHER

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2027?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$173Time left641dAGONActive
OTHER

Will every province of Canada legally recognise gender by self-identification in 2033?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$167Time left2758dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada be top ten in IMO 2026?

YES26%
NO74%
Volume$167Time left17dAGONActive
SPORTS

NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?

YES93%
NO8%
Volume$141Time left17dPolymarketActive
OTHER

Will Canada ban whaling before 2030 ?

YES30%
NO70%
Volume$139Time left1297dAGONActive
OTHER

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

YES85%
NO15%
Volume$135Time left1663dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Canada become more authoritarian in 2026?

YES27%
NO73%
Volume$130Time left291dAGONActive
Entities / Countries / Canada