Taiwan

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Chinese invasion of Taiwan mega market (30k subsidy)

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

When will China invade Taiwan

Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?

Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

Will Donald Trump win 2024? x Will China Invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?

Will there be a female president of the United States before China and Taiwan go to war?

[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Will China launch a military operation against Taiwan in 2026?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

When will China invade Taiwan?

If China invades Taiwan will the invasion be successful? [No Survivorship Bias]

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?

What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Will China invade or blockade Taiwan by the end 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will Xi Jinping be in Taiwan anytime through 2026?

Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - 1 day

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

China uses military force to take Taiwan by July 1, 2026

Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?

Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will China control Taiwan in 2040?

Will China invade Taiwan before the end of Ukraine-Russian war?

Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?

China and Taiwan 2030 [Mega Market]

Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?

China Blockades Taiwan Before...

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2027

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

In case of a take-over attempt by 2035, will Taiwan put up a fight versus China?

Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?

China to officially recognize Taiwan as a country before the end of 2028 🇨🇳🇹🇼

Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030

Will the Vatican State stop its diplomatic relationship with Taiwan and establish one with China before 2027?

In what month will China invade Taiwan?

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

[Metaculus] Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before...interference with Taiwan?

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Will there be an Chinese/Korean/Japanese/Taiwanese American President before 2060?

If China invades Taiwan before IMO 2026, will IMO 2026 be cancelled?

Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?

Will there be concentration camps in Taiwan before 2040?

Will Donald Trump say "Taiwan Number One" before 2028?

Will GPT5 help produce a convincing solution to the "Taiwan issue" acceptable to all sides?

Taiwan, Moon, Nuclear - Entangled market

Will China acquire Taiwan through the equivalent of Anschluss?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan while Xi Jinping is in power?

How will Trump respond if China attacks, blockades, or physically annexes Taiwan before the end of his presidency?

Will a new Republic of China/Taiwan "government in exile" be formed by EOY2035?

WW3: Begins With Taiwan

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

If China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?

Taiwan hyperinflation by 2030?

(Before 2030) How will China actually initiate the annexation of Taiwan?

Will China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?

Contingent on Greenland invasion by USA, China invades Taiwan within 1 year?

Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2028?

Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?

Would a China-Taiwan war shorten AI timelines?