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United States

Prediction markets related to United States. Browse and compare live odds across all platforms.

Total Markets100
Total Volume$2.1M
Volume 24h$2.1M
Live Games0
Settled0

Filters

Status
Source
Market SpotlightActive

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

POLITICSPolymarket
YES0%
NO100%
$253K volumeended time leftView market
SPORTS

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

YES28%
NO72%
Volume$163KTime left1261dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$134KTime left2912124dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

YES85%
NO15%
Volume$106KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
POLITICS

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

YES18%
NO82%
Volume$97KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
POLITICS

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

YES42%
NO58%
Volume$94KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
TECH

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

YES100%
NO0%
Volume$73KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
POLITICS

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

YES67%
NO34%
Volume$59KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
OTHER

Will I get a job in the United States in 2025?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$57KTime leftendedAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

YES55%
NO45%
Volume$48KTime left1255dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

YES26%
NO74%
Volume$48KTime left1255dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

YES65%
NO35%
Volume$45KTime left8925dAGONActive
TECH

[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$41KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

YES28%
NO72%
Volume$41KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$40KTime left160dAGONActive
SPORTS

Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$38KTime left910dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?

YES8%
NO92%
Volume$34KTime left1255dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will the next President of the United States die in office?

YES15%
NO85%
Volume$34KTime left1620dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

YES49%
NO52%
Volume$33KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

YES16%
NO84%
Volume$32KTime left159dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]

YES15%
NO85%
Volume$30KTime left1620dAGONActive
TECH

Will 320 to 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$23KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will a La Liga regular season match be played in the United States before the end of the 2025/26 season?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$20KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

On the day before the 2029 inauguration, who will be the President of the United States?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$18KTime left909dAGONActive
POLITICS

[Metaculus] Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

YES91%
NO9%
Volume$16KTime left1225dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?

YES91%
NO10%
Volume$15KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
POLITICS

Who will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$15KTime left890dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?

YES28%
NO72%
Volume$15KTime left1619dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be President of the United States on January 21, 2037?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$15KTime left3834dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Donald Trump remain de facto leader of the United States beyond the end of his second term?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$14KTime left910dAGONActive
SPORTS

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

YES37%
NO63%
Volume$14KTime left26822dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be the first woman president of the United States?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$13KTime left5639dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$13KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

YES80%
NO20%
Volume$13KTime left890dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will there be a female president of the United States before China and Taiwan go to war?

YES31%
NO69%
Volume$13KTime left1256dAGONActive
TECH

Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$12KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
POLITICS

Will Donald Trump run in the 2028 United States presidential election?

YES15%
NO85%
Volume$12KTime left871dAGONActive
TECH

Will more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$11KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States?

YES12%
NO88%
Volume$11KTime left4208dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Iran win the war before March 31 against the United States?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$11KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$11KTime left2372dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

YES73%
NO27%
Volume$11KTime left5273dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will either China or the United States shoot down a manned aircraft belonging to the other one before 2025?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$11KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Kamala Harris be president of the United States before the end of January 2029?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$10KTime left921dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$10KTime left2371dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?

YES14%
NO86%
Volume$10KTime left922dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

YES13%
NO87%
Volume$10KTime left1256dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$9KTime left12213dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

YES38%
NO62%
Volume$9KTime left4907dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$9KTime left2203dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the United States of America abduct another head of state in 2026?

YES12%
NO88%
Volume$9KTime left159dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will 50,000 United States citizens live in the Gaza strip by Jan 1 2029?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$8KTime left892dAGONActive
SPORTS

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$8KTime left524dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?

YES68%
NO32%
Volume$8KTime left2371dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will any car or truck with a solid state battery be delivered in the United States before EOY 2025

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$8KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?

YES70%
NO30%
Volume$8KTime left921dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?

YES23%
NO77%
Volume$7KTime left8215dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$7KTime left1255dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the United States legalize commercial supersonic flight over land before 2026?

YES45%
NO55%
Volume$7KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

When will a zoomer first be elected president of the United States?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$7KTime left27187dAGONActive
POLITICS

What will be the party of the next President of the United States?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$7KTime left921dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Joe Biden live to see Julian Assange extradited to the United States?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$6KTime left524dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?

YES8%
NO92%
Volume$6KTime left1255dAGONActive
SPORTS

What date will Greenland be invaded by the United States?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$6KTime left1255dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$6KTime left844dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?

YES63%
NO37%
Volume$5KTime left159dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the United States recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2028?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$5KTime left890dAGONActive
FINANCE

One year after AGI is built, what will be the interest rate (%) in the United States?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$5KTime left4908dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

YES44%
NO56%
Volume$5KTime left4908dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the United States government admit there are alien UFOs by July 4?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$5KTime leftendedAGONActive
SPORTS

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$5KTime left160dAGONActive
TECH

Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$4KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

YES17%
NO83%
Volume$4KTime left1255dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will a GLP-1 receptor agonist (Ozempic-like drug) be added to public water supplies in the United States by 2075?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$4KTime left17614dAGONActive
POLITICS

In what year will the first female president of the United States cease being president?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left17801dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will wokeness peak in the United States in the 2020s?

YES94%
NO6%
Volume$4KTime left1255dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?

YES66%
NO34%
Volume$4KTime leftendedAGONActive
SPORTS

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left1255dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

YES24%
NO76%
Volume$4KTime left4177dAGONActive
POLITICS

As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left891dAGONActive
SPORTS

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left890dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?

YES20%
NO80%
Volume$4KTime left6023dAGONActive
SPORTS

What will the 51st state of the United States of America be?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left5273dAGONActive
TECH

Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$4KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
POLITICS

Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?

YES77%
NO23%
Volume$3KTime left859dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will the United States elect a woman president by 2030?

YES19%
NO81%
Volume$3KTime left1256dAGONActive
POLITICS

When will a Republican next be elected President of the United States

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left5247dAGONActive
POLITICS

WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

YES17%
NO83%
Volume$3KTime left102dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?

YES15%
NO85%
Volume$3KTime leftendedAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be the next Leftie president of the United States of America?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left26823dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?

YES20%
NO80%
Volume$3KTime left890dAGONActive
POLITICS

Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2030?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left1256dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

YES10%
NO90%
Volume$3KTime left100dPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will NYC become the new tech capital of the United States by 2030?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$3KTime left1619dAGONActive
SPORTS

Which countries will the United States invade by the end of 2030?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left1620dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?

YES15%
NO85%
Volume$3KTime left1255dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$3KTime left159dAGONActive
TECH

Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$3KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

YES14%
NO86%
Volume$3KTime left910dAGONActive
POLITICS

When will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left29013dAGONActive
Entities / Countries / United States