United States

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Will I get a job in the United States in 2025?

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.

Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?

Will the next President of the United States die in office?

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

Will the next President of the United States die in an office? [Mod Note: Pun Trap]

Will 320 to 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

Will a La Liga regular season match be played in the United States before the end of the 2025/26 season?

On the day before the 2029 inauguration, who will be the President of the United States?

[Metaculus] Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?

Who will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?

Will Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?

Who will be President of the United States on January 21, 2037?

Will Donald Trump remain de facto leader of the United States beyond the end of his second term?

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

Who will be the first woman president of the United States?

Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

Will there be a female president of the United States before China and Taiwan go to war?

Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

Will Donald Trump run in the 2028 United States presidential election?

Will more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States?

Will Iran win the war before March 31 against the United States?

Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election?

Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?

Will either China or the United States shoot down a manned aircraft belonging to the other one before 2025?

Will Kamala Harris be president of the United States before the end of January 2029?

Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

Will Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Will the United States of America abduct another head of state in 2026?

Will 50,000 United States citizens live in the Gaza strip by Jan 1 2029?

Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?

Will any car or truck with a solid state battery be delivered in the United States before EOY 2025

Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?

Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?

Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?

Will the United States legalize commercial supersonic flight over land before 2026?

When will a zoomer first be elected president of the United States?

What will be the party of the next President of the United States?

Will Joe Biden live to see Julian Assange extradited to the United States?

Will the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?

What date will Greenland be invaded by the United States?

Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?

Will the United States recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2028?

One year after AGI is built, what will be the interest rate (%) in the United States?

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Will the United States government admit there are alien UFOs by July 4?

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2027?

Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

Will a GLP-1 receptor agonist (Ozempic-like drug) be added to public water supplies in the United States by 2075?

In what year will the first female president of the United States cease being president?

Will wokeness peak in the United States in the 2020s?

Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?

What will the 51st state of the United States of America be?

Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?

Will the United States elect a woman president by 2030?

When will a Republican next be elected President of the United States

WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?

Who will be the next Leftie president of the United States of America?

Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?

Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2030?

Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Will NYC become the new tech capital of the United States by 2030?

Which countries will the United States invade by the end of 2030?

Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?

Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?

Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

When will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?