Arbitrum (ARB)

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

In 2029, will any AI be able to take an arbitrary proof in the mathematical literature and translate it into a form suitable for symbolic verification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #5)

In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?

When will the first robot be made that can go into a near-arbitrary kitchen and make a cup of tea?

Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?

Will the US implement a carbon tax by 2030?

Will K2-18b be generally agreed to harbor alien life by 2027?

Is fashion 8% of global carbon emissions?

Which team will win Marble League 2026?

Will Proton Pass stop being garbage by the end of 2025?

Will there be evidence of Tadej Pogacar using carbon monoxide for doping purposes by 2026?

When will the first murder of a civilian happen in a US city by a robot or AI device where an operator is not nearby

Which party will win the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?

Will the Elgin Marbles be returned to Greece before 2030?

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

Will New Zealand implement a carbon tax by 2027?

Will the UK return the Elgin Marbles to Greece before the end 2030?

Do high levels of carbon dioxide have significant negative impacts on cognition?

When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?

Will the USA have a national Carbon Tax by the end of 2030?

Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2030?

In 10 years, will Barbie have been followed by at least 10 (released) movies based on Mattel toys?

who will win Santa Barbara County Board of Supervisors election, District 2 on June 2nd 2026

Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2040?

If/When we find aliens will there primary molecule for life be carbon

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Will the world achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2060?

Will I be a drooling Virtual Reality zombie consuming garbage dopamine optimized content and porn by 2030?

Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak in or by 2025?

Will the wild population of the Blond Titi Monkey (​​Callicebus barbarabrownae) become Extinct by 2100?

Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?

Will "Arbitrage" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?

(When) will Google's Carbon-lang be deprecated?

Will there be more McDonald stores than Starbucks stores in the US at the end of 2025?

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Global carbon emissions peak when ?

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

[Metaculus] Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

Will Barbie be turned into a Broadway musical by 2026?

Will the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 survive the Trump administration?

Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $7,000 per tonne on April 1, 2026?

Does 1000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?

Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?

Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2030

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2035?

Will India control either mountain K2 or Nanga Parbat before Jan 1 2027

There will be a company which offers LLM or AI-based arbitration by 2030

Will we discover an extraterrestrial carbon based life confirmed by Nasa before 2150?

What will be the price of Team Fortress 2 earbuds at the end of 2027?

[Metaculus] Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?

Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $7,000 per tonne on May 1, 2026?

Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles?

Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Will Trump win Trump v. Barbara?

Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Will Starbucks sell boba tea by 2027

Will Formula One achieve carbon neutrality by 2030?

[Carlini questions] Chance off-the-shelf AI system can play as well as casual player on arbitrary board game given rules

Will Adam Henry Marblestone's *or* Jose Luis Ricon's childhood home turn into a UNESCO world heritage site by EOY2150?

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Will the next Wintergatan Marble Machine be used on a tour before 2030?

When will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 90% of all car sales in the USA?

Which party will win the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

Will the lithium carbonate spot price exceed $25,000 per metric ton on April 1, 2026?

Will the AI-based carbon emissions tracking startup reach 100 paying business customers by December 31, 2026?

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?

Will Lego's new carbon-neutral factory in Virginia open by the end of 2027?

Will Álvaro Arbeloa be sacked or resign before the end of the 2025–26 season?

Will greece source at least 66% of it's electricity consumption from renewable low carbon sources in the year 2027?

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Barbora Krejcikova: Total Sets O/U 2.5

What progress we will see in elimination of the Great Pacific garbage patch during the next ten years?

Will Spot lithium carbonate price in China exceed 190000 units on May 31, 2026?

Will Barbora Krejčíková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Will https://ocov2.jpl.nasa.gov/ (orbiting carbon observatory) data be accessible by on the NASA website by EOY2027?

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

Will Lego's new carbon-neutral factory in Virginia open by the end of 2026?

Will Spot lithium carbonate price in China exceed 180000 units on May 31, 2026?

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

Will the Cleaner's Carbine in Team Fortress 2 get a significant stat adjustment before 2030?

Now Target buys Starbucks on 2032

Will Jose Luis Ricon OR Adam Henry marblestone become an Xbox OR guitar hero avatar by 2033

What year will John Harbaugh stop coaching the New York Giants?

Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?

Before 2030, will an AI system be able to solve compositional problems of arbitrary depth?

Will Spot lithium carbonate price in China exceed 170000 units on May 31, 2026?

Will another Auckland Harbour crossing finish construction before 2040?

Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

When will Trump v. Barbara (the birthright citizenship case) be decided?

“Will the AI carbon emissions tracking SaaS reach 300 paying business customers by 31 Dec 2027?”

Will Ivan Barbero score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Barbie Movie Stock