Live
BTC$63,940.63-1.90%
ETH$1,857.04-0.90%
SOL$73.81-2.56%Fear & Greed27 Fear
Gas—
Next block ETH11s
WC 2026BTC$63,940.63-1.90%ETH$1,857.04-0.90%SOL$73.81-2.56%WC 2026Prediction markets related to Lighter (LIT). Browse and compare live odds across all platforms.
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2050?
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Will lighter than air airships transport >1M passengers total before 2035?
What lifting gas will the largest lighter-than-air aircraft use in 2040?
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
Mechanistic Interpretability Stock (Permanent)
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner
ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before 2030?
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
Military applications of neutrinos by 2050?
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Are the telepathy tapes actually documenting psychic abilities? (scientific consensus by 2026)
Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
Will many open source advocates agree frontier models have crossed capability thresholds too dangerous to open source?
Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO3) - LFL Playoffs
Will CrowdStrike pay more than $10m of civil or criminal liability for today's incident before 2027?
Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
Will Blaublitz Akita win on 2026-05-06?
What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2050?
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2045?
Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
Will the ability of F-1 international students to work in the US be severely curtailed before July 2025?
Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
Wins Nobel Prize in Literature before 2030
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party?
In 2029, will any AI be able to take an arbitrary proof in the mathematical literature and translate it into a form suitable for symbolic verification? (Gary Marcus benchmark #5)
Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?
Will we find a way to live forever, i.e. reverse aging and achieve biological immortality by 2046?
Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Will the US military control at least ten percent of Iran by area at any point during 2026?
When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Will Keir Starmer's net favourability rating be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024?
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
Will the GitHub Copilot Litigation Succeed?
If AI safety is divided by left/right politics in the next 5 years, will the left be more pro-regulation than the right?
Will >5% of an FTX-implicated political donation be clawed back, from >2 politicians or political campaigns, by end of 2026?
Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026?
Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 10 politicians will keep power longer? The next four "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%
This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?
When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time?
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?
If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?
Will China launch a military operation against Taiwan in 2026?
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?
Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2035?
What will Joe Biden's return to politics entail? (Before 1/21/2029) [Add Answers!]
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Infinite (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group A
Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
NTSB's determined primary cause of the collision between American Eagle Flight 5342 and a military Black Hawk helicopter
Will this [Major Market] Resolve YES? (gauging resolve NA or %'s probability)
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2028?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?
In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters?
Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?
By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?
Do the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines/boosters increase all-cause mortality significantly?
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?
If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030