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NEAR Protocol (NEAR)

Prediction markets related to NEAR Protocol (NEAR). Browse and compare live odds across all platforms.

Total Markets44
Total Volume$100K
Volume 24h$100K
Live Games0
Settled0

Filters

Status
Source
Market SpotlightActive

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

OTHERAGON
YES21%
NO79%
$39K volume3129d time leftView market
OTHER

Will any frontier lab be near-fully automated before 2029?

YES32%
NO68%
Volume$8KTime left937dAGONActive
SPORTS

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

YES28%
NO72%
Volume$6KTime left22dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will the Ukraine war end with Ukraine controlling nearly all Ukrainian territory INCLUDING Crimea?

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$6KTime leftendedAGONActive
TECH

When will the first robot be made that can go into a near-arbitrary kitchen and make a cup of tea?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$5KTime left206dAGONActive
TECH

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$4KTime left206dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2029?

YES30%
NO70%
Volume$3KTime left1302dAGONActive
TECH

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$3KTime left5245dAGONActive
TECH

When will the first murder of a civilian happen in a US city by a robot or AI device where an operator is not nearby

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime leftendedAGONActive
TECH

Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?

YES60%
NO40%
Volume$3KTime left1667dAGONActive
OTHER

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$3KTime left1303dAGONActive
OTHER

Will nearly all of the Epstein files be released before 2027?

YES25%
NO75%
Volume$2KTime left207dAGONActive
OTHER

Will there be a UCI road cycling race in or near Philadelphia in 2026?

YES88%
NO12%
Volume$2KTime left206dAGONActive
POLITICS

How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

YES14%
NO86%
Volume$1KTime left147dAGONActive
POLITICS

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$1KTime left148dAGONActive
OTHER

Does the CKM matrix violate unitarity (near the 0.1% level)?

YES23%
NO77%
Volume$1KTime left1303dAGONActive
OTHER

Boba Shop Near MOP 2026?

YES85%
NO15%
Volume$1KTime left206dAGONActive
POLITICS

How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

YES26%
NO74%
Volume$975Time left147dAGONActive
OTHER

Colorado cavers confirm reopening "Cyclopean Cave" near Leadville by end-2026?

YES39%
NO61%
Volume$904Time left206dAGONActive
POLITICS

Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)

YES54%
NO46%
Volume$728Time left147dAGONActive
POLITICS

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

YES48%
NO52%
Volume$708Time left147dAGONActive
OTHER

Will anything human make it out of the near-future?

YES88%
NO12%
Volume$660Time left5126dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2026?

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$638Time left206dAGONActive
OTHER

How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

YES40%
NO60%
Volume$608Time left147dAGONActive
OTHER

Will "Near-Instantly Aborting the Worst Pain Imagin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

YES63%
NO37%
Volume$550Time left602dAGONActive
OTHER

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

YES46%
NO54%
Volume$493Time left571dAGONActive
TECH

What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$430Time left206dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will a Presbyopia treatment be approved by Dec 31, 2025 to fully restore near vision without glasses or contact lenses?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$290Time leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

YES45%
NO55%
Volume$172Time left937dAGONActive
FINANCE

Will a Netflix movie reference janus/repligate *or* Joscha Bach OR nearcyan by EOY2026?

YES31%
NO69%
Volume$170Time left206dAGONActive
ENTERTAINMENT

Will an anime character modeled off of @repligate/janus be instantiated by nearcyan's Elysian labs by 2028

YES48%
NO52%
Volume$160Time left934dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Austin LessWrong have a near-gender-balanced meetup in 2026?

YES57%
NO43%
Volume$134Time left206dAGONActive
OTHER

Will "Detecting Strategic Deception Using Linear Probes" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

YES14%
NO86%
Volume$122Time left237dAGONActive
OTHER

Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?

YES61%
NO39%
Volume$40Time left206dAGONActive
OTHER

If LMs store info as features in superposition, does # features scale superlinearly with number of model parameters?

YES41%
NO59%
Volume$40Time leftendedAGONActive
TECH

Will "I am worried about near-term non-LLM AI devel..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

YES14%
NO86%
Volume$32Time left237dAGONActive
OTHER

Are ancient afterlife myths interpretations of near death experiences?

YES61%
NO39%
Volume$28Time left26870dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Katan'Hya come to https://in.thegarden.pt/ (near Porto, Portugal) in 2025/2026?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$22Time left206dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$0Time leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$0Time leftendedAGONActive
CRYPTO

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$0Time leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Will a nearly continuous human chain stretch across the length of the Forth and Clyde Canal on 14 October 2023?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$0Time leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$0Time leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$0Time leftendedAGONActive
Entities / Crypto Assets / NEAR Protocol (NEAR)