NEAR Protocol (NEAR)

Will any frontier lab be near-fully automated before 2029?

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Will the Ukraine war end with Ukraine controlling nearly all Ukrainian territory INCLUDING Crimea?

When will the first robot be made that can go into a near-arbitrary kitchen and make a cup of tea?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2029?

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

When will the first murder of a civilian happen in a US city by a robot or AI device where an operator is not nearby

Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Will nearly all of the Epstein files be released before 2027?

Will there be a UCI road cycling race in or near Philadelphia in 2026?

How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Does the CKM matrix violate unitarity (near the 0.1% level)?

Boba Shop Near MOP 2026?

How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

Colorado cavers confirm reopening "Cyclopean Cave" near Leadville by end-2026?

Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Will anything human make it out of the near-future?

Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2026?

How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

Will "Near-Instantly Aborting the Worst Pain Imagin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?

Will a Presbyopia treatment be approved by Dec 31, 2025 to fully restore near vision without glasses or contact lenses?

How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)

Will a Netflix movie reference janus/repligate *or* Joscha Bach OR nearcyan by EOY2026?

Will an anime character modeled off of @repligate/janus be instantiated by nearcyan's Elysian labs by 2028

Will Austin LessWrong have a near-gender-balanced meetup in 2026?

Will "Detecting Strategic Deception Using Linear Probes" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?

If LMs store info as features in superposition, does # features scale superlinearly with number of model parameters?

Will "I am worried about near-term non-LLM AI devel..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Are ancient afterlife myths interpretations of near death experiences?

Will Katan'Hya come to https://in.thegarden.pt/ (near Porto, Portugal) in 2025/2026?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?

Will a nearly continuous human chain stretch across the length of the Forth and Clyde Canal on 14 October 2023?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?