Rain (RAIN)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine warcasting megamarket

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)

In how many months from the the 1 of January 2025 will the Russo-Ukraine war end.

After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?

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Will Russia nuke Ukraine?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?

Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

Francavilla: Martin Krumich vs Gabriele Piraino

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2026?

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Is the brain quantum?

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?

By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?

Will the EU force Ukraine to make concessions?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Will the Catholic Church train a PopeGPT and endorse it as doctrinally sound by end of 2027?

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Will Ukraine gain more territory than it loses in any month of 2026?

Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026?

$100B AI training cluster before 2029?

Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?

Will Joe Biden live to see the Russia-Ukraine war end?

🧭Which of these things will happen before Ukraine joins NATO? [ADD RESPONSES]

When will war on Ukraine 🇺🇦 will end?

At the end of the war, will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territory they didn’t control at the start?

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Before 2028, will anyone train a GPT-4-level model in a minute?

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$1T AI training cluster before 2031?

Will brain death be reversible by 2070?

Will Donald Trump ever visit Ukraine?

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?

Will Russia launch a RS-26 Rubezh missile at Ukraine before January 20, 2029?

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?

Will Lex Fridman interview Putin before the Ukraine-Russia war ends?

When will Ukraine join the EU?

Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?

Trainwreckstv stock (Permanent)

Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).

If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?

Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce GPT-2 training from PyTorch code by 2026?

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?

Will $10,000 worth of AI hardware be able to train a GPT-3 equivalent model in under 1 hour, by EOY 2027?

By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Will the Ukraine war end with Ukraine controlling nearly all Ukrainian territory INCLUDING Crimea?

100GW AI training run before 2031?

If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?

Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?

What year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place?

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.

Will an adversarial attack for the human brain, a la "basilisk" from BLIT, be discovered by 2030?

Does an untrained combatant with a spear beat one with a sword?

Will the largest AI training run in 2025 utilize Sophia, Second-order Clipped Stochastic Optimization?

Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2027?