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Sky (SKY)

Prediction markets related to Sky (SKY). Browse and compare live odds across all platforms.

Total Markets100
Total Volume$1.0M
Volume 24h$1.0M
Live Games0
Settled0

Filters

Status
Source
Market SpotlightActive

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

TECHAGON
YES53%
NO47%
$114K volume1083d time leftView market
OTHER

How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$93KTime leftendedAGONActive
SPORTS

Bluesky active users in December 2026

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$78KTime left201dAGONActive
TECH

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

YES55%
NO45%
Volume$51KTime left3123dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?

YES18%
NO82%
Volume$49KTime left1258dAGONActive
OTHER

Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky?

YES41%
NO59%
Volume$31KTime left201dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

YES13%
NO87%
Volume$30KTime left61dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

YES70%
NO30%
Volume$29KTime leftendedAGONActive
TECH

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$24KTime left63389dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$23KTime left1297dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Noam Chomsky publicly admit his theory of linguistics is mostly wrong before turning 100?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$19KTime left907dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

YES25%
NO75%
Volume$19KTime left4950dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

YES20%
NO80%
Volume$18KTime left568dAGONActive
ENTERTAINMENT

Will Noam Chomsky live long enough to see Luffy find the One Piece?

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$18KTime left933dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

YES18%
NO82%
Volume$18KTime left27874dAGONActive
OTHER

Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026

YES63%
NO37%
Volume$17KTime left140dAGONActive
TECH

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

YES28%
NO72%
Volume$16KTime left3489dAGONActive
TECH

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

YES23%
NO77%
Volume$16KTime left618dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?

YES21%
NO79%
Volume$16KTime left931dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Noam Chomsky become a centenarian?

YES22%
NO78%
Volume$15KTime left909dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Noam Chomsky be alive to witness the development of AGI?

YES8%
NO92%
Volume$13KTime left1662dAGONActive
SPORTS

Chemnitz 99 vs. Fraport Skyliners

YES100%
NO0%
Volume$13KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella have a child by the end of 2029?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$12KTime left1297dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)

YES57%
NO43%
Volume$12KTime left318dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

YES68%
NO32%
Volume$11KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will Zelenskyy outlast Putin as president?

YES28%
NO72%
Volume$11KTime left1662dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$11KTime left1297dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$11KTime left16dPolymarketActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella start dating during the next 3yrs?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$10KTime leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?

YES12%
NO88%
Volume$10KTime left568dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?

YES17%
NO83%
Volume$10KTime left201dAGONActive
OTHER

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

YES15%
NO85%
Volume$10KTime left201dAGONActive
OTHER

Will the sky be clear in Sydney during the 2028 total solar eclipse?

YES58%
NO42%
Volume$7KTime left770dAGONActive
OTHER

Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030

YES41%
NO59%
Volume$7KTime left1298dAGONActive
OTHER

Skylympics Points Winner

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$7KTime left201dAGONActive
OTHER

Is Eliezer Yudkowsky the author of The Waves Arisen?

YES42%
NO58%
Volume$7KTime left202dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Yudkowsky ever testify to U.S. Congress?

YES16%
NO84%
Volume$7KTime left201dAGONActive
OTHER

If Eliezer Yudkowsky loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what is the reason why?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$7KTime left26864dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

YES100%
NO0%
Volume$6KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$6KTime left626dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?

YES47%
NO53%
Volume$6KTime left1298dAGONActive
OTHER

If Eliezer Yudkowsky tried diet and exercise for 6 months, would he lose a reasonable amount of weight?

YES98%
NO2%
Volume$6KTime left1622dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with a federal crime before the end of 2028?

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$5KTime left933dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$5KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.

YES32%
NO68%
Volume$5KTime left5315dAGONActive
TECH

By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?

YES3%
NO97%
Volume$5KTime left932dAGONActive
TECH

Will @EliezerYudkowsky reverse his opinion on AI safety, before 2030?

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$5KTime left1298dAGONActive
OTHER

Eliezer Yudkowsky is found to have performed prediction market fraud by the end of 2025

YES6%
NO94%
Volume$5KTime leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

How many copies of Yudkowsky and Soares' book will be sold in the first year, worldwide? (Compressed range)

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$5KTime left16dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$5KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

When will Zelenskyy and Putin next be seen together?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$5KTime left4951dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$4KTime left7112dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$4KTime left26863dAGONActive
SPORTS

By end of 2026, will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$4KTime left79dAGONActive
SPORTS

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy no longer be the Ukrainian President?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left1297dAGONActive
SPORTS

Bluesky Stock

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$4KTime left364104dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as president of Ukraine in the next election?

YES30%
NO70%
Volume$4KTime leftendedAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028

YES28%
NO72%
Volume$4KTime left567dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$4KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin next be seen together?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left4951dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Noam Chomsky become a centenarian?

YES26%
NO74%
Volume$3KTime left1298dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Zelensky survive the Russo-Ukrainian War?

YES91%
NO9%
Volume$3KTime left4949dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Zelenskyy and Putin agree to engage in single combat to decide the fate of Ukraine?

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$3KTime left566dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$3KTime left12620dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$3KTime left6045dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

YES100%
NO0%
Volume$3KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Who will be the next President of Ukraine, after Zelenskyy?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left1236dAGONActive
OTHER

Eliezer Yudkowsky stock (permanent)

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$3KTime left363840dAGONActive
OTHER

Will there be a skyhook space structure placed in LEO before 2035?

YES11%
NO89%
Volume$2KTime left3123dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will either Putin or Zelenskyy be deposed, die or leave office first?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$2KTime left71680dAGONActive
OTHER

will eliezer yudkowsky pour an entire bottle of ketchup onto his head on the live internet before 2030?

YES9%
NO91%
Volume$2KTime left1297dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Eliezer Yudowsky become romantically involved with an AI before 2030?

YES7%
NO93%
Volume$2KTime left1297dAGONActive
POLITICS

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

YES16%
NO85%
Volume$2KTime left200dPolymarketActive
TECH

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky reveal the text of the conversations from the AI box escape experiment by the end of 2030?

YES12%
NO88%
Volume$2KTime left1663dAGONActive
POLITICS

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$2KTime left200dPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will Zelensky start his second presidential term in Ukraine before 2050?

YES34%
NO66%
Volume$2KTime left8602dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky use AGI to figure out why he was wrong?

YES34%
NO66%
Volume$2KTime left4950dAGONActive
OTHER

Will there be wonders in the sky by 2050?

YES69%
NO31%
Volume$2KTime left8602dAGONActive
TECH

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky associate the UFO phenomenon with AI 1 year after losing his UFO bet? (PROB 50 if he wins)

YES48%
NO52%
Volume$2KTime left3171dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy?

YES22%
NO78%
Volume$2KTime left8943dAGONActive
SPORTS

If Zelenskyy runs for re-election before 2028, will he win?

YES88%
NO12%
Volume$2KTime left567dAGONActive
OTHER

Is Conradin an alternate handle for Eliezer Yudkowsky?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$2KTime left269dAGONActive
SPORTS

What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$2KTime left1084dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

YES96%
NO4%
Volume$1KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
OTHER

Hypixel Skyblock Stock (Permanent)

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left364079dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

YES0%
NO100%
Volume$1KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Which account will get to 1,000 followers first, my Elon-simping X account, or my Elon-hating bluesky account?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime leftendedAGONActive
OTHER

🪦What will happen before Noam Chomsky dies? [ADD RESPONSES]

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left201dAGONActive
SPORTS

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

YES38%
NO62%
Volume$1KTime left1297dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?

YES4%
NO96%
Volume$1KTime left4221dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

YES5%
NO95%
Volume$1KTime left1297dAGONActive
SPORTS

How many constellation links will be indexed by Bluesky at the end of 2026?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left201dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky hit 10 million Twitter followers by 2037?

YES18%
NO82%
Volume$1KTime left4219dAGONActive
POLITICS

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

YES2%
NO98%
Volume$1KTime left16dPolymarketActive
OTHER

Will @EliezerYudkowsky profit on net across all #superconductivity markets?

YES75%
NO25%
Volume$1KTime left1329dAGONActive
OTHER

Eliezer Yudkowsky p(Doom) stock

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left173326dAGONActive
SPORTS

Who will live longer? Putin or Zelenskyy?

YES50%
NO50%
Volume$1KTime left8603dAGONActive
OTHER

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky lose his bet with Unknown?

YES86%
NO14%
Volume$1KTime left63753dAGONActive
SPORTS

Chicago Sky vs. Portland Fire

YES68%
NO33%
Volume$1KTime leftendedPolymarketActive
SPORTS

Will BlueSky overtake X in active users before June 1st 2025

YES1%
NO99%
Volume$1KTime leftendedAGONActive
Entities / Crypto Assets / Sky (SKY)