In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 9 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "RB Leipzig" if RB Leipzig win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC St. Pauli 1910". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Current consensus reads the outcome as a coin flip, with the YES side trading at 51%. Every divergence between that number and your own read is an edge — the question is whether you're holding it at the right size by the time the book settles.

Resolution follows https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. When the source fires, the mirror resolves on Base and winning shares redeem for $1 USDC each.