§ sports

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to

YES Probability4%

Total Volume$10.9M

Days Left64d

§ Dossier — sports

64d to settlement

sportsMirrored · Polymarket64d left

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Resolves 01 Jul 2026

#Sports#Basketball#NBA#NBA Finals#NBA Champion

§ Dossier — Key Stats

Market Vitals

4%YES Probability

$373K24h Volume

$2.3M1w Volume

$10.9MTotal Volume

$6.9MLiquidity

64dUntil Resolution

§ Dossier — sports · Preview

Editorial

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Current consensus reads the outcome as a long shot, with the YES side trading at 4%. Every divergence between that number and your own read is an edge — the question is whether you're holding it at the right size by the time the book settles.

§ Dossier — Price History

YES Probability Over Time

Real Polymarket YES-token price history, proxied via the AGON worker.

Loading price history…

§ Dossier — Position

Mirror This Market

No on-chain mirror yet. Be the first to register one and unlock AGON trading for this market.

Not yet on AGON — mirror it to start trading

Spawn a permissionless on-chain copy of this Polymarket condition on Base Sepolia. You pick the size of your first bet — the pool seed auto-sizes around it so your trade fits under the on-chain 5% per-trade cap. Minimum seed is 100 tUSDC.

§ Dossier — About

Context

What the market is pricing and where its data comes from.

§ Dossier — Resolution

How This Settles

The on-chain machinery that turns a Polymarket outcome into AGON settlement.

Source

This market is mirrored from Polymarket's production feed. When the Polymarket oracle reports the final outcome, the AGON mirror contract forwards it on-chain and winning shares become redeemable for $1 USDC each.

On-chain

StateNot yet mirroredCondition ID0x6b44bd66…cc3368a7Negative RiskYes

§ Dossier — Timeline

Market Lifecycle

From feed to mirror to settlement.

Live feed
Sourced
Pulled from Polymarket's production feed and indexed by the AGON worker.
TBD
Awaiting Mirror
No on-chain mirror yet. Be the first to register one and unlock AGON trading.
01 Jul 2026
Resolves
When the Polymarket oracle reports, the mirror settles and shares redeem.