This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Galions in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 11:00AM ET. This

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This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Galions in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 11:00AM ET. This…
YES Probability
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This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Galions in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Galions. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Current consensus reads the outcome as strongly favored, with the YES side trading at 100%. Every divergence between that number and your own read is an edge — the question is whether you're holding it at the right size by the time the book settles.
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Resolution follows https://gol.gg/esports/home. When the source fires, the mirror resolves on Base and winning shares redeem for $1 USDC each.
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Dispute-based oracle by UMA Protocol. Challenge window: 2h.
Awaiting resolution
Expected: May 15, 2026, 21:00 UTC
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