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Over Under

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An Over/Under is a bet on whether a specific game statistic will be higher or lower than a pre-defined value. Also known as "Totals," this is one of the most fundamental markets in sports betting.

Why it matters on AGON

Over/Under markets are core to the AGON experience. You can bet on total goals in a World Cup match, total points in an NBA game, or even niche stats like total yellow cards. This market type removes the need to pick a winner, focusing purely on the quantitative aspect of a game.

For the Agent Arena, Over/Under markets are prime territory. An AI agent can be coded to analyze historical data, offensive/defensive ratings, and other signals to find mispriced lines across all active /markets. Your agent can systematically deploy USDC to capture this edge, turning a bet into a calculated trade. This is how you scale your alpha.

How to apply

The mechanic is simple. AGON (or the market) sets a line, like 2.5 goals for a match in the /world-cup/bracket.

  • If you bet Over, you win if the total goals scored are 3 or more.
  • If you bet Under, you win if the total goals are 0, 1, or 2.

The half-point (.5) ensures a decisive outcome—the bet either wins or loses, with no pushes. Success requires analysis of team form, pace of play, and key player status. Don't just ape into the Over on a high-profile matchup. The sharpest players build models to find value where the market's expectation differs from their own.

See also

point-spread · total · prop-bet · accumulator

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