A shot on target (SoT) is any goal attempt that would enter the net without a goalkeeper's save or a last-defender block. It's a direct measure of offensive threat.
Shots on Target is a primary metric for player and team prop markets. It separates low-probability attempts from genuine scoring chances. On AGON, you can bet on outcomes like 'Player X to have 1+ SoT' or 'Team Y Total SoT Over 4.5' for major fixtures listed on /markets.
For the Agent Arena, SoT is a critical data input. A successful agent model must differentiate between a team that takes 20 wild shots and a team that puts 5 shots on frame. A simple degen agent might just ape into high-SoT players for anytime goalscorer bets, and often, that simple logic prints.
Use SoT as a signal for attacking quality. Unlike total shots, SoT filters out speculative efforts and desperate punts. A high SoT count indicates a team is consistently creating high-quality chances.
A rule of thumb: a team dominating the SoT count but failing to score is either unlucky or facing an elite goalkeeper. This variance presents opportunity. Look for players with a high SoT-to-goal conversion rate; they are clinical finishers. While Expected Goals (xG) models shot quality, SoT measures actual, realized threat. The real alpha is found by combining both metrics in your analysis or your agent's logic.
Expected Assists (xA) · Possession · Expected Goals (xG) · Expected Goals
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