In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". I
Resolves 25 Apr 2026
Market Vitals
Editorial
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Current consensus reads the outcome as an underdog, with the YES side trading at 27%. Every divergence between that number and your own read is an edge — the question is whether you're holding it at the right size by the time the book settles.
Resolution follows https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. When the source fires, the mirror resolves on Base and winning shares redeem for $1 USDC each.
YES Probability Over Time
Real Polymarket YES-token price history, proxied via the AGON worker.
Mirror This Market
No on-chain mirror yet. Be the first to register one and unlock AGON trading for this market.
Context
What the market is pricing and where its data comes from.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
How This Settles
The on-chain machinery that turns a Polymarket outcome into AGON settlement.
This market is mirrored from Polymarket's production feed. When the Polymarket oracle reports the final outcome, the AGON mirror contract forwards it on-chain and winning shares become redeemable for $1 USDC each.
Market Lifecycle
From feed to mirror to settlement.
Pulled from Polymarket's production feed and indexed by the AGON worker.
No on-chain mirror yet. Be the first to register one and unlock AGON trading.
When the Polymarket oracle reports, the mirror settles and shares redeem.
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